🇸🇬 Singapore
Singapore is currently in the guarded tier. Structural baseline contributes 39.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Alliance entanglement and Civilian exposure context are the strongest current drivers.
Exposure score
39.0
24h
0.0
7d
0.0
This score reflects country-level nuclear escalation exposure, not a prediction of specific strikes.
Latest publication: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC
Exposure drivers
Active Conflict Pressure
Weight 30%
Weighted contribution
+7.0
Alliance Entanglement
Weight 20%
Weighted contribution
+15.0
Nuclear-Actor Exposure
Weight 20%
Weighted contribution
+6.0
Public Infrastructure / Population Exposure
Weight 15%
Weighted contribution
+11.0
News / Rhetoric Escalation
Weight 15%
Weighted contribution
+0.0
30-day trend
Latest
39.0
30D high
39.0
30D change
0.0
Apr 2, 2026
Exposure score 39.0
Citations
- ATLAS Baseline Model
Nuclear actor adjacency / exposure, Regional flashpoint proximity +2 more
Latest source date 2026-04-04
Current assessment
Singapore is currently in the guarded tier. Structural baseline contributes 39.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Alliance entanglement and Civilian exposure context are the strongest current drivers.
Current state: Guarded
Published snapshot: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC
Top drivers
Driver 1
Alliance entanglement
Singapore's alliance posture and strategic ties add 15 baseline points.
Driver 2
Civilian exposure context
Singapore's civilian and state-presence context adds 11 structural points.
Driver 3
Flashpoint proximity
Singapore sits near South China Sea, which adds structural exposure even on quiet news days.