🇵🇫 French Polynesia
French Polynesia is currently in the low tier. Structural baseline contributes 11.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Civilian exposure context and Alliance entanglement are the strongest current drivers.
Exposure score
11.0
24h
0.0
7d
0.0
This score reflects country-level nuclear escalation exposure, not a prediction of specific strikes.
Latest publication: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC
Exposure drivers
Active Conflict Pressure
Weight 30%
Weighted contribution
+1.0
Alliance Entanglement
Weight 20%
Weighted contribution
+3.0
Nuclear-Actor Exposure
Weight 20%
Weighted contribution
+2.0
Public Infrastructure / Population Exposure
Weight 15%
Weighted contribution
+5.0
News / Rhetoric Escalation
Weight 15%
Weighted contribution
+0.0
30-day trend
Latest
11.0
30D high
11.0
30D change
0.0
Apr 2, 2026
Exposure score 11.0
Citations
- ATLAS Baseline Model
Nuclear actor adjacency / exposure, Regional flashpoint proximity +2 more
Latest source date 2026-04-04
Current assessment
French Polynesia is currently in the low tier. Structural baseline contributes 11.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Civilian exposure context and Alliance entanglement are the strongest current drivers.
Current state: Low
Published snapshot: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC
Top drivers
Driver 1
Civilian exposure context
French Polynesia's civilian and state-presence context adds 5 structural points.
Driver 2
Alliance entanglement
French Polynesia's alliance posture and strategic ties add 3 baseline points.
Driver 3
Nuclear-actor exposure
French Polynesia's proximity to nuclear-armed states adds 2.0 baseline points.