AmericasCaribbean

🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis

Saint Kitts and Nevis is currently in the low tier. Structural baseline contributes 14.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Nuclear-actor exposure and Civilian exposure context are the strongest current drivers.

Exposure score

14.0

Low

24h

0.0

7d

0.0

This score reflects country-level nuclear escalation exposure, not a prediction of specific strikes.

Latest publication: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC

Exposure drivers

Active Conflict Pressure

Weight 30%

Raw 3.33.3/100

Weighted contribution

+1.0

Alliance Entanglement

Weight 20%

Raw 15.015.0/100

Weighted contribution

+3.0

Nuclear-Actor Exposure

Weight 20%

Raw 30.030.0/100

Weighted contribution

+6.0

Public Infrastructure / Population Exposure

Weight 15%

Raw 26.726.7/100

Weighted contribution

+4.0

News / Rhetoric Escalation

Weight 15%

Raw 0.00.0/100

Weighted contribution

+0.0

30-day trend

Latest

14.0

30D high

14.0

30D change

0.0

025507510003/0403/0903/1403/1903/2403/2904/02

Apr 2, 2026

Exposure score 14.0

Citations

  • ATLAS Baseline Model

    Nuclear actor adjacency / exposure, Regional flashpoint proximity +2 more

    Latest source date 2026-04-04

Current assessment

Saint Kitts and Nevis is currently in the low tier. Structural baseline contributes 14.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Nuclear-actor exposure and Civilian exposure context are the strongest current drivers.

Current state: Low

Published snapshot: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC

Top drivers

  • Driver 1

    Nuclear-actor exposure

    Saint Kitts and Nevis's proximity to nuclear-armed states adds 6.0 baseline points.

  • Driver 2

    Civilian exposure context

    Saint Kitts and Nevis's civilian and state-presence context adds 4 structural points.

  • Driver 3

    Alliance entanglement

    Saint Kitts and Nevis's alliance posture and strategic ties add 3 baseline points.