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🇨🇿 Czechia

Czechia is currently in the elevated tier. Structural baseline contributes 46.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Alliance entanglement and Nuclear-actor exposure are the strongest current drivers.

Exposure score

46.0

Elevated

24h

0.0

7d

0.0

This score reflects country-level nuclear escalation exposure, not a prediction of specific strikes.

Latest publication: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC

Exposure drivers

Active Conflict Pressure

Weight 30%

Raw 23.323.3/100

Weighted contribution

+7.0

Alliance Entanglement

Weight 20%

Raw 85.085.0/100

Weighted contribution

+17.0

Nuclear-Actor Exposure

Weight 20%

Raw 75.075.0/100

Weighted contribution

+15.0

Public Infrastructure / Population Exposure

Weight 15%

Raw 46.746.7/100

Weighted contribution

+7.0

News / Rhetoric Escalation

Weight 15%

Raw 0.00.0/100

Weighted contribution

+0.0

30-day trend

Latest

46.0

30D high

46.0

30D change

0.0

025507510003/0403/0903/1403/1903/2403/2904/02

Apr 2, 2026

Exposure score 46.0

Citations

  • ATLAS Baseline Model

    Nuclear actor adjacency / exposure, Regional flashpoint proximity +2 more

    Latest source date 2026-04-04

Current assessment

Czechia is currently in the elevated tier. Structural baseline contributes 46.0 of 70, while recent movement adds 0.0 of 30. Alliance entanglement and Nuclear-actor exposure are the strongest current drivers.

Current state: Elevated

Published snapshot: Apr 2, 2026, 14:00 UTC

Top drivers

  • Driver 1

    Alliance entanglement

    Czechia's alliance posture and strategic ties add 17 baseline points.

  • Driver 2

    Nuclear-actor exposure

    Czechia's proximity to nuclear-armed states adds 15.0 baseline points.

  • Driver 3

    Flashpoint proximity

    Czechia sits near Ukraine front, which adds structural exposure even on quiet news days.